Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.020936 0.022622 0.024379 0.026348 0.028496 0.030769 0.033357
2025-10-12 0.018256 0.020688 0.023359 0.026516 0.030153 0.034222 0.039129
2025-10-19 0.016437 0.019295 0.022558 0.026573 0.031396 0.037024 0.044121
2025-10-26 0.015048 0.018173 0.021855 0.026535 0.032353 0.039384 0.048583
2025-11-02 0.013951 0.017260 0.021265 0.026500 0.033203 0.041556 0.052842
2025-11-09 0.012848 0.016231 0.020422 0.026035 0.033411 0.042852 0.055980
2025-11-16 0.011903 0.015321 0.019646 0.025565 0.033529 0.043976 0.058887
2025-11-23 0.011232 0.014713 0.019202 0.025474 0.034101 0.045684 0.062634
2025-11-30 0.010596 0.014103 0.018708 0.025265 0.034471 0.047100 0.066017
2025-12-07 0.010053 0.013581 0.018293 0.025124 0.034903 0.048593 0.069560
2025-12-14 0.009537 0.013066 0.017853 0.024909 0.035196 0.049878 0.072842
2025-12-21 0.009159 0.012719 0.017622 0.024968 0.035869 0.051725 0.077046
2025-12-28 0.008727 0.012289 0.017273 0.024868 0.036350 0.053383 0.081181
2026-01-04 0.008394 0.011985 0.017090 0.025003 0.037191 0.055636 0.086412
2026-01-11 0.008062 0.011665 0.016864 0.025053 0.037894 0.057704 0.091468
2026-01-18 0.007734 0.011331 0.016595 0.025017 0.038449 0.059555 0.096273
2026-01-25 0.007432 0.011019 0.016342 0.024984 0.038996 0.061409 0.101185
2026-02-01 0.007051 0.010569 0.015852 0.024548 0.038860 0.062130 0.104189
2026-02-08 0.006696 0.010141 0.015378 0.024108 0.038686 0.062762 0.107059
2026-02-15 0.006448 0.009869 0.015132 0.024022 0.039089 0.064378 0.111765
2026-02-22 0.006191 0.009571 0.014830 0.023827 0.039290 0.065647 0.115908
2026-03-01 0.005964 0.009311 0.014576 0.023695 0.039587 0.067090 0.120456
2026-03-08 0.005736 0.009039 0.014290 0.023493 0.039746 0.068289 0.124608